Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.504714 3.718418 3.947148 4.211744 4.511432 4.842833 5.240581
2025-08-10 3.139383 3.422678 3.742382 4.135143 4.612390 5.184466 5.940436
2025-08-17 2.826645 3.138329 3.503041 3.970809 4.570161 5.336698 6.437955
2025-08-24 2.618491 2.950019 3.349584 3.881041 4.594586 5.563784 7.077271
2025-08-31 2.474672 2.823250 3.254333 3.846764 4.677638 5.874821 7.915994
2025-09-07 2.341209 2.696725 3.145222 3.777747 4.697083 6.090372 8.665419
2025-09-14 2.222626 2.579634 3.037227 3.696334 4.683355 6.246450 9.359748
2025-09-21 2.114808 2.469144 2.929047 3.602792 4.636779 6.336483 9.957509
2025-09-28 2.049771 2.410304 2.885382 3.595933 4.720415 6.660473 11.197040
2025-10-05 2.046996 2.432961 2.953377 3.757224 5.093653 7.596021 14.572187
2025-10-12 2.008827 2.404887 2.947337 3.804233 5.280417 8.222836 17.788993
2025-10-19 1.990942 2.403122 2.977881 3.910003 5.586312 9.206188 24.022532
2025-10-26 1.955368 2.379366 2.981274 3.983897 5.870643 10.330583 35.652646
2025-11-02 1.889117 2.309410 2.912234 3.932261 5.905024 10.846497 47.586251
2025-11-09 1.805611 2.211416 2.795873 3.791134 5.737816 10.735756 53.334581
2025-11-16 1.743397 2.141703 2.719274 3.713211 5.694345 11.001215 70.866036
2025-11-23 1.697281 2.093337 2.672795 3.683999 5.751592 11.630887 128.112033
2025-11-30 1.646932 2.036727 2.610513 3.621509 5.726000 11.977565 264.745167
2025-12-07 1.597228 1.979251 2.544177 3.546834 5.662752 12.169094 989.598093
2025-12-14 1.547989 1.920853 2.473945 3.460469 5.562012 12.182944 NaN
2025-12-21 1.519031 1.891471 2.448322 3.454277 5.650387 13.038508 NaN
2025-12-28 1.523803 1.912297 2.503660 3.603811 6.150180 16.327691 NaN
2026-01-04 1.506886 1.899623 2.503722 3.647342 6.391512 18.755949 NaN